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Tom Wolf

Dr Wolf is a research consultant currently associated with TIFA Research in Nairobi. He has written this piece in his personal capacity.

Long Reads2 months ago

Within the Margin of Error? — A Post-Election Polling Retrospective

Assessing the accuracy of survey results and examining the five factors that contributed to pollsters missing the mark in the 2022 elections.
Op-Eds10 months ago

The Pollsters Have Had Their Say, Now Let the Real Voters Have Their Way

This is the fifth in a series of articles that will review and comment on surveys related to the August 2022 general election, providing analytical tools...
Politics10 months ago

Towards the Home Stretch: Poll Update in an Evolving Electoral Context

This is the fourth in a series of articles that will review and comment on surveys related to the August 2022 general election, providing analytical tools...
Long Reads11 months ago

Polls and Ballots: Getting Into the ‘Weeds’ of Election-Based Survey Research

This is the third in a series of articles that will review and comment on surveys related to the August 2022 general election, providing analytical tools...
Op-Eds1 year ago

Why Opinion Polls May Not Always Predict Election Outcomes in Kenya

This is the second in a series of articles that will review and comment on surveys related to the August 2022 general election, providing analytical tools...
Op-Eds1 year ago

The Political Polling Season Is Upon Us: What You Need to Know – Part I

This is the first of a series of articles that will review and comment on surveys related to the August 2022 general election, providing analytical tools...

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